Feature Story: An economic ‘soft landing?’ Unprecedented, but possible.

Economist John Chang shared his views during GlobeSt. Healthcare conference

By John B. Mugford

Economist John Chang of Marcus & Millichap, who made a keynote presentation during the Dec. 12 GlobeSt Healthcare conference in Scottsdale, Ariz., said the Fed’s attempt to accomplish a soft landing “has never happened before.” (HREI™ photo)

Fans of the comedy classic “Airplane” probably got a kick out of a line from the movie that economist John Chang referred to during his keynote address at the ALM/GlobeSt. Healthcare conference in Scottsdale, Ariz., in mid-December.

In describing what the U.S. Federal Reserve is hoping to accomplish with the economy, Mr. Chang, senior VP and national director of research and advisory services with Marcus & Millichap Inc. (NYSE: MMI), quipped: “Jerome Powell (chair of the Federal Reserve) has been saying, ‘What we want to achieve a soft landing.’ … and he believes it is doable.

“It’s almost like we have this plane that is going through all of this turbulence. It’s a challenging flight … the winds are blowing, everything is going crazy, and (the pilot) is trying to land this airplane … and he’s sweaty.”

In Mr. Chang’s description, a hypothetical person asked Mr. Powell about the likelihood of pulling off a soft landing amid so much turbulence, saying, “‘Surely, you can’t be serious?’

“Chairman Powell answers, ‘Well, of course I’m serious, and stop calling me Shirley.’”

It was a fine ode to “Airplane,” and an interesting depiction of the current state of the economy and the Fed’s attempts to not only right the ship – with the soft-landing approach – but to be careful about not “overcooking” the recovery, which would lead to higher unemployment and a potential recession.

Could the Fed’s strategy go wrong?

The full content of this article is only available to paid subscribers. If you are an active subscriber, please log in. To subscribe, please click here: SUBSCRIBE

Existing Users Log In